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Finding Equilibrium  

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JTsuited
Young predator
Points:52
Posts: 20
(@jtsuited)
Eminent Member
Joined: 2 months ago

“I woke up early and took the first train to take me away from the city'' -Charlotte Eriksson

Early in this case means before 10 am, and the first train means the first one with business class seats left:

Train

So far my track record in a game with 72 aka seven-deuce aka worst starting hand in holdem & mississippi straddle is in the red, but Im relying on the fact that Ive only had one session of it and my skills didn't realise yet. Anyways, today I took the train to play that game again and see how it goes. Buying into the the seven-deuce additional bounty gives me an incredibly nice option of raising my preflop monsters into something ridiculous like 15-20BB as long as the table has good action going.

Even though I don't have much of a track record in 72 mississippi holdem, what I DO have on my belt is plenty of hours played in this card room I'm headed to. Played low 4-figs of hours of PLO and NLHE there during several years, so it feels kind of the same when you arrive to any familiar place and just know how to do things there without having to adjust consciously too much. In this particular environment, I just know I'm in a good position to crush the game.

So the battle plan for today is:

[x] 10.00 am Wake up

[x] 10.15 am Listen to a poker podcast

[x] 11.00 - 13.00 pm Business stuff & pack your things & book a hotel n train

[x] 13.05 pm Breakfast smoothie

[in progress] 13.20-16.00 pm Travel & write a blog post

[ ] 16.10 pm Arrive to hotel 

[ ] 16.20 pm Go for a run in the city center

[ ] 16.30 pm Sign-up to the 72 Mississippi game [Wearing your running gear lol]

[ ] 16.45 pm Cold shower & drying hair

[ ] 16.55 pm Walk & take your seat

[ ] 23.30 pm Last hand

[ ] = Profit ???

[ ] 23.45 pm Cashout & night life if other players going too

 

Let's try to execute this in a clean manner. GL at the tables!

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JTsuited
Young predator
Points:52
Posts: 20
(@jtsuited)
Eminent Member
Joined: 2 months ago

"Winter Is Coming" -House of Stark motto

I'm writing this post in the hotel lobby after waking just before noon and exiting my hotel room. The schedule I planned was quite accurate except for one box:

[x 13.20-16.00 pm Travel & write a blog post

[x] 16.10 pm Arrive to hotel 

[x] 16.20 pm Go for a run in the city center

[x] 16.30 pm Sign-up to the 72 Mississippi game [Wearing your running gear lol]

[x] 16.45 pm Cold shower & drying hair

[x] 16.55 pm Walk & take your seat

[x] 20.00pm Dinner

[x] 23.45 pm Last hand

[ ] = Profit ???

[x] 23.45 pm Cashout

[x] 23.55-04.30am Karaoke & Dance Floor

So what happened exactly? Let's just say that you can always win G-bucks or Sklanskys if you're one of the best players at the table, but you don't always win real bucks. So yeah, that's what basically happened. The game wasn't even 27 or mississippi, but that didn't slow things down much. I feel exhausted for having played since Thursday last week in pretty much the wildest Holdem games I've ever sat in and having barely broken even, but that's often the reality you gotta deal with if you play poker. Everyone is eventually going to run way worse than they thought is possible, and this is not even close to what could have gone down.

To be honest, Running 150 buy-ins under ev online in one year didn't feel this overwhelming, as you could get rakeback and bonuses to cover the losses. In live games, you get nothing, nada, zero, except more experience of EV not being realised when you hit the front gates of abyss (as DGAF likes to call it). Entering and staying in the abyss is another thing though, I'm not quite there yet, and it's out of my control anyways.

Nowadays I think the winner of the hand is decided before the hand even starts, and it's just a (somewhat) challenging simulation you've gotta run through. Everything between busto and robusto can be experienced with various types of emotions, mostly depending  on your current direction i.e. if you're going up or down - basically its just all noise, as are all the monthly and yearly results too. Your goal should be to play your best and stay in the game, and EVENTUALLY you will get lucky at some point. For the entrepreneurial minds of you, the same principle should apply to business too.

Let's get to the HH's:

Hand number 1: The Kid Who Does (Not) Bet With Garbage

Starting point: Villain 1 has seen hero play solid whole evening, and Villain 2 doesn't care much until the bets become significant. It's time to play some deepstack poker with +300bb eff stacks.

Hero HJ: 7h 6h  

Villain 1 raises to 6, Villain 2 raises 28, UTG+3 cold calls, Hero calls, BB calls, Villain 1 calls

Flop: Js 6d 3h  

Checks to Villain 2 who bets 82, UTG+3 folds, Hero calls, BB folds, Villain 1 calls

Turn: 5h  

Checks to Hero, Hero takes a Phil Helmuth posture and bets 320, Villain 1 seems reluctant to let his hand go but probably must think he's beaten and folds, Villain 2 says he's got outs and calls.

River: 8c  

Villain 2 checks, Hero is in awkward position with around 100bb left and decides to check as value betting here would be REALLY thin. Hero scoops the pot against 7c 3d  . 

Even though we're quite sure our pair of sixes is good here like +80% of the time, it's really hard to get called by a 5x or a 3x that had some kind of draw to call the turn as we block the hearts and the gutshot. Any draw containing 8x beats us now, and we also lose to 6x with better kicker. 

We win a few medium pots, and suddenly have a good stack to play with:

Stack

Hand number 2: The Rounders Moment

Starting point: Same villains as in the previous hands, the table will close soon. Villain 2 has 500bb, Hero has 750BB, Villain 1 has +1000BB

Hero UTG+1: Ks Kc  

Hero raises to 12, UTG+2 calls, Villain 2 raises to 72, Villain 1 raises to 300 from SB, Hero calls, Villain 2 calls

Flop: Js Ts 9c  

Villain 1 bets 750, Hero raises all-in to 1.2k, Villain 2 calls, Villain 1 snap calls. Hero tables KK and asks if Villain 1 has Aces - the answer is no.

Turn: Ad  

RoundersMoment

Hero asks if Villain 1 hit that one. The answer is yes.

River: 4c  

Villain 1 scoops the pot with As 4s

After this Hero loses one more flip with As Jd   against As Tc   preflop. I wonder did I do something wrong here?

Screen Shot 2019 11 29 at 13.48.17

Well, in some distant future where I have a series of rungood sessions this session will be just a funny memory. To be continued...

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JTsuited
Young predator
Points:52
Posts: 20
(@jtsuited)
Eminent Member
Joined: 2 months ago

Part 1/2

“Fasten your seatbelts. It's going to be a bumpy night.” -Batty Koda

Last night it was the same circus of poker, karaoke & dancing again, except I had breakfast as early as at 4.30 pm and we decided to get some Subway sandwhiches before calling it a day at around 6.15 am. I was prepared to take a lot of close to zero EV flips as the buy-in cap was restricted to 200eur today with 2/2 blinds, but this time after losing the first bullet we never had to reach out to the wallet for the rest of the night. 

Recap of key hands before we started to play deep stack poker:

Hand number 1: Range flat Into a Overbet Shove

Starting point: Every hand has been 3b so far - this time was exception for some weird reason but it ended up well for the hero.

Hero HJ: Ad Ac  

UTG raises to 6, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls , CO calls, BB calls

Flop: Ks Jc 7d  

UTG bets around 2/3 pot, UTG+1 folds, UTG +2 calls, Hero raises to 194, CO & BB fold, UTG calls, UTG+2 calls

Turn: Ah  

River: 2c  

Hero scoops the pot with set of aces. UTG+1 claimed to have quite a bad hand.

Hand number 2: Downbet Inducer

Starting point: Unknown villain OTB who hasn't gone to showdown yet.

Hero HJ: Ad Qh

Hero raises to 6, CO calls, BTN calls, BB calls.

Flop: Kd Jh 3c  

Checks to Hero, Hero bets 14, CO folds, BTN calls, BB folds

Turn: Td  

Hero bets 22/40% of the pot, BTN raises to 64, Hero goes all-in and covers, BTN calls remaining 150

River: Jd  

Nut straight no good as BTN shows 7d 9d  .

Hand number 3: Range flat Into a cooler flop

Dead raise to X (10-12) on UTG.

Hero BTN: Kh Kd  

HJ raises to 40ish, Hero calls, UTG calls

Flop: Ts 6c 3c  

UTG bets pot, HJ raises to 250, Hero goes allin for 320, UTG calls, HJ calls

Turn: 5s  

River: Blank

UTG shows Tc 7c , HJ shows Qs Qc  , Hero scoops the pot with kings.

Hand number 4: Clash

Dead raise to 4 from UTG

Hero BB: Jc Jd  

UTG+2 raises to 40, BTN raises all-in to 90, Hero goes all-in for 1k, UTG+2 calls remaining 500

Flop: Ah Ks Qd  

Turn: 4c  

River: Tc  

UTG +2 shows Ts Th  , BTN flashes As Kc , Hero scoops the pot with the nut straight.

Hero orders a cup of green tea with honey, and prepares to play some postflop poker. To be continued...

 

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JTsuited
Young predator
Points:52
Posts: 20
(@jtsuited)
Eminent Member
Joined: 2 months ago

Part 2/2

“The Grind Never Ends”

We are reaching the 1000bb threshold which means we need to be prepared to play some actual poker. Well, in this case, that mostly means street poker where every top pair is basically the nuts, but besides thin valuebetting we'll only want to bet postflop in case we have some kind of equity - at this table betting with pure airballs (especially on the river) might not be a very profitable strategy.  

Hand number 5: River Sizing

Starting point: Finally a hand where we can flat for a decent price preflop in position.

Dead raise to 4 from UTG

Hero BTN: Tc 9c  

UTG +1 raises to 40, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls, BB calls

Flop: 9s 6c 7s  

UTG+1 bets 200, UTG+2 folds, Hero calls, BB folds

Turn: 3d  

UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

River: Jh  

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 280, UTG+1 calls & shows 7d 8c - Hero scoops the pot with pair of nines.

Analysis: Preflop our most profitable options are either to 3bet or flat. Here we prefer flatting since having to call a large 4bet diminishes our positional value for the rest of the hand. On the flop our equity is good enough to flat for two streets (at least on a blank turn) - UTG+1 decides to check the turn, and we can rule out big draws at this point from his range. The most likely holdings he should take this line with have some type of a SD value like 6x or 7x, possibly 8x or 88. We check behind as our hand is a bit too weak to go for value on both the turn and the river.

On the river we have a clear value bet against a check, and we want to choose a sizing that can be called by any one pair hand containing a 6 or a 7. Betting 40-45% of the pot should do the job fine in this pot.

Hand number 6: Push The Equity 

Hero SB: Kc Qc  

UTG +1 raises to 10, UTG+2 calls, Hero raises to 52, SB calls, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 folds

Flop: 9c 7c 3d  

Hero bets 84, SB raises to 250, Hero goes all-in, SB calls remaining 700

Turn: Jc  

River: 5s  

Hero shows second-nut Flush, SB mucks.

Analysis: Preflop our hand is strong enough to 3b and we want to go for value with any top pair postflop. SB coldcalls which is quite interesting - we can basically rule out the absolute preflop monsters from both his and UTG +1’s range. On the somewhat wet flop half pot sizing is okay, and we have way too much equity to not continue after SB’s raise. Flatting the SB’s raise OOP with little more than potsized bet left will make our hand hard to play, and by shoving over the top on the flop we get realize our whole equity in case SB calls us.

I lost one 3bet 3way pot with 9h 8h   on the button, as BB coldcalled  Tc 8c . Luckily only 1 bet went in postflop. Before that though we had a HU 3bet pot in position:

Hand number 7: Game Theory Equilibrium

Dead raise to 4 from UTG

Hero BTN: 8h 5h  

Hero raises to 12, SB folds, BB raises to 42, UTG folds, Hero calls

Flop: Jc 8d 6h  

BB bets 32, Hero calls

Turn: Qc  

BB checks, Hero checks

River: 5s  

BB bets 104, Hero raises allin, BB calls remaining 310

Hero shows rivered two pair, BB flashes AA and mucks.

Analysis: Our hand is the worst suited 8x we defend against 3b. The flop is a clear defend again in position with the middle pair + backdoor draws. On the turn we have some showdown value against A-highs or bluffs that didnt improve enough in equity to bet the turn, so we check. The river bet looks like AQ, KQ or possibly a thin valuebet with Jx. We raise to get value from one pair hands.

The runbad from yday has turned upside down:

886D3754 720A 463D 85B6 B500245A9015

For the last 2 hours we dont get much big hands, and at 2.00 am its time to continue the circus into playing ping-pong and night club tour.

A1C09E69 ACBA 4787 980B ADBBC7DA6F4D

06.15 am: Good time to close your eyes. To be continued...

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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